Election
Integrity

Was the 2004 Presidential Election Stolen? Exit Polls, Election Fraud, and the Official Count by Steven F. Freeman & Joel Bleifuss / Foreword by U.S. Representative John Conyers, Jr.

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Announcing the Election Verification Exit Poll
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Announcing the Election Verification Exit Poll

by Steven Freeman 10/5/2008 2:01:00 PM

On Tuesday November 4, 2008, Election Integrity, together with Election Defense Alliance and The Warren Poll, will be conducting its third Election Verification Exit Poll (EVEP).

Most of you reading this message are well aware of precipitous trends in America, and also that a key reason for why we're on the edge is the corruption of our electoral processes. But most Americans, and even many of you, still have no idea of the extent to which they are corrupted. Despite rude awakenings in several recent Novembers, the relentless fictions propounded by both major political parties, the media and other purported guardians of the system has lulled America back to into a stupor
. As a nation, we continue to view the spectacle of electoral politics from the grandstands where we cheer, root or boo while gorging on nutritionless calories. If all goes according to plan, we'll enjoy the show and then go to sleep entertained and addle-brained assuming all is, if not well, then at least as it must be.

But although the system is corrupt on every flank, an overwhelming majority of Americans still believe deeply in democracy and understand how election integrity underpins our rights and our future. By exposing corrupted processes and participating politically as opposed to simply spectating, we may yet assert influence and gain some control over the destiny of our country. Indeed, despite a battle of no money versus billions, we are making a difference. The term "election integrity" has entered the lexicon. Since December 2004, hundreds of groups loosely known as the election integrity movement have formed. We likely had a material impact in 2006 when, for the first time in many election cycles, fraud may well have been restrained. In states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, and California where our groups have been most active - egregious past results have not been repeated and/or proponents of election reform have won.
 
EVEPs hold perhaps the greatest promise for impact of any technique. The Bush administration has testified that they helped fund exit polls abroad because it is one of the only ways to expose large-scale fraud. Indeed, discrepancies between exit polls and the official results have been used to successfully overturn election results in Serbia, Peru, the Republic of Georgia and, in November 2004, Ukraine. 


In contrast to overseas exit polls, the US National Election Pool (NEP) media exit poll does not report actual survey results, but rather disingenuously legitimizes official numbers, massaging or torturing their own data as necessary to bring them in line. In 2004, we knew of the seven percentage point national discrepancy between how people said they voted and official numbers (11 percentage points in Ohio) only because of a technical glitch that prevented NEP from "correcting" results on election night. Such a mistake won't happen again as those with access to the data are to be - no joke! -quarantined without electronic or phone communication and subsequently sworn to secrecy.


EI, EDA and The Warren Poll are committed to complete transparency in our exit polls, with all methods and data fully shared. We conducted our first EVEP in two Pennsylvania congressional districts during the 2006 general election -- the US first EVEP ever. In this spring's Kentucky Democratic primary we
tested and codified our procedures.  


As with everything we do, our success is possible only with your
donations, volunteer contributions and your help spreading the word about our efforts.

 

Thanks for your help, Steve

 

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Comments

10/5/2008 4:34:46 PM

Paul Lehto

I've some input about where legal challenges are most likely, which, as Bush v. Gore shows, are just as likely or perhaps more likely to improperly decide an election as unofficial cheating simply because they acquire a cloak of respectability via the cloak of legality that surrounds them. Please contact me for input if there's any possibility of focusing areas to exit poll in based on likelihood of legal challenge.

Paul Lehto us

10/5/2008 7:29:42 PM

Steven Freeman

Our final polling sites are not set yet. Please offer your suggestions either here, or write to Ken Warren (warrenkf@slu.edu) and me privately.

Steven Freeman us

10/8/2008 7:30:32 AM

michael krasner

Dear Steve,
I've just been reading your report on the Kentucky survey. With regard to the issue of how to get people to agree to take the poll, I think you'd get a higher rate if you ask,

"Could you help us verify the election results by taking this anonymous poll? It takes less than a minute."

There's enough concern about the issue of election fraud so that people will, I think, want to help insure the integrity of the election, and by extension, help to make sure that their own vote gets counted. On the other hand, you don't want them to think that you're trying to pry into their choice, so it's important to let them know immediately that won't be revealing their names.

Hope this is helpful. Thanks for all you're doing.

Michael Krasner
Associate Professor
Department of Political Science
Queens College, City University of New York &
Co-director, Taft Institute for Government

michael krasner us

10/9/2008 12:37:05 PM

Jerry L. Bonham

Please let me know how I can be helpful. I am retired, having served on the Staff of the US Senate and in the Clinton Adminisration fora combined 24 years. Before that, I taught political science at the university level and hold a Ph.D. in that field.

I am absolutely convinced that Ohio,and probably other States as well, was stolen by the Republicans in 2004, based on the deviation of reported official results from exit polls--all, interstingly, in favor of Bush-Cheney. I recall that a political scientist at the time pointed out that a deviation in one direction was highly unlikely on the basis of chance alone. This introvertible evidence of a systematic distortion of the official results nonetheless received no serious attentio in the media, and even then Dems. failed to make an issue of it.

It's time to stop them and throw their sorry butts in jail!!!

Jerry L. Bonham us

10/14/2008 8:54:59 AM

Steven Freeman

To volunteer, please go to the ei link www.electionintegrity.org/.../volunteerJob.aspx (although that is a poor URL; i'm going to try to shorten it to: http://www.electionintegrity.org/volunteers.aspx.

You can also write to Ryan Herlinger [ryan.herlinger@gmail.com]

And also sign up on for the EI newsletter at: visitor.constantcontact.com/optin.jsp

Steven Freeman us

10/17/2008 11:16:49 AM

AmyAmy

Steve-Your links don't work

AmyAmy us

10/21/2008 12:01:07 PM

Steven Freeman

I know many links don't work. Any volunteers willing to help fix them?

Steven Freeman us

10/22/2008 2:12:17 PM

JeffB

You need a Webmaster volunteer? I'm in California. I agree with your views on the Voting issues. I just heard one of your speeches on KPFA and got me checking this site out. Thanks for your research, report and publicity on this matter.

JeffB us

10/24/2008 3:22:14 PM

Laura Trippi

To volunteer for Election Verification Polling, go here:

Election Verification Poll: Info at EDA (Election Defense Alliance)
http://electiondefensealliance.org/evp

Election Verification Poll: SIGN UP
www.electiondefensealliance.org/polling/signup.php

To volunteer for Election Integrity, including helping out with this site, go here:

www.electionintegrity.org/.../volunteerJob.aspx

The Election Integrity mailing list is managed through Google Groups. To subscribe, and to browse the archives, click on the "Forum" tab (upper right). You'll find a link to "Apply for group membership" once you're on the Google Groups page (on the upper right).

Laura Trippi us

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